Staying Real in Israel
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The government of Israel is considering releasing from Israeli jails scores of arab terrorists…terrorists that have already murdered hundreds of innocent Jews…

Gilad Shalit

Our hearts are torn over the pain and suffering already endured by Gilad Shalit and his loved ones, after being held in captivity in Gaza for five years by heartless, inhumane palestinian terrorists. We MUST do everything possible to obtain his release…NOW.

Jewish law and Jewish morality places the redeeming of Jewish captives amongst the highest priorities of any Jewish community…but not at any price. We are required to be certain that the redeeming of one precious life does not become the cause of later, even greater LOSS of life…

It is the responsibility of the government of Israel to do everything in its power to obtain the immediate release of Gilad Shalit. It is also the responsibility of the government of Israel to protect and defend the lives of the rest of Israel’s citizens. The government must not only think about Shalit today, but must consider tomorrow, the DAY AFTER his release…What is likely to happen?

This nightmarish “day after” scenario posited by my friend Dr. Aaron Lerner at IMRA seems all too likely to occur, should the government decide to free arab terrorists of the most dangerous variety in return for the release of Gilad Shalit…

Observation: The day after release of Shalit in huge trade

The following is a reasonable prediction of what will happen after Gilad
Shalit is released in a huge trade:

Reprinted from imra.org.il Dr. Aaron Lerner

1. Every terrorist group and even freelancers make absolutely every
effort to grab someone to replace Shalit.

2. The country is on high alert due to intelligence reports of plans to
kidnap another soldier.

3. Many of the attempts are foiled.

4. Thursday is a nightmare for both soldiers and their families as
soldiers make their way home for the weekend from their bases. Ditto for
Sunday as soldier return. In both instances the roads are clogged with the
cars of parents who opted to transport their children themselves rather than
rely on public transportation.

5. Within a relatively short period, a soldier is dragged off the streets
of Israel but the terrorists kill the soldier because they find that they
are unable to hide him.

6. Ultimately one of the kidnappings succeeds when a soldier dragged off
the streets reaches Gaza after being smuggled out to Egypt – all this before
it is even certain that a soldier is actually missing.

7. The IDF carries out various attacks but since Israeli intelligence is
clueless as to where the soldier is being held and since Israel wants to
avoid condemnation at this time for a massive operation, most efforts to
gain the release of the captured soldier are diplomatic and via PR.

8. The country is depressed, frustrated and there are articles in the
paper that many families with children slated to enter the IDF are seeking
ways to keep their kids out of the army.

9. There are calls to meet the demands of the terrorists to gain the
release of the new kidnapped soldier.

10. Some former senior defense-intelligence officials issue a call to
release all terrorists now being held by Israel once they have been
interrogated for information so that there is no longer any reason for the
terrorists to kidnap Israelis.

11. Under the banner “Peace Now: For the safety of our soldiers” former
senior defense-intelligence officials issue a call for Israel to make every
and any conciliation required to reach a final status agreement with the
Palestinians.

The above series of events might not transpire, but the odds that they do
are magnitudes greater than optimistic scenarios.

The former senior defense-intelligence officials who assert that Israel
knows how to deal with security threats are correct. There will be security
alerts, etc. but none of these activities will stop the kidnapping from
taking place with every terrorist group and even freelancers making
absolutely every effort to grab someone to replace Shalit.

Now that’s not to say that the recommendation of the former senior
defense-intelligence officials who are pushing for Israel to carry out the
trade aren’t right.
Its just that they should have the intellectual honesty to concede where we
may find ourselves after the deal.